UPDATED: 04-09-26 09:31 PDT

women Southern Connecticut 2
  
Southern Connecticut  
W-L: (10- 2) PR = 88.6599

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 221 A Thomas Jefferson CACC ( 8- 3, 88.6) 8- 7 222 A Holy Family CACC ( 3- 4, 76.5) 304 H Felician CACC ( 1- 7, 72.9) 21- 3 307 H St Michaels Northeast 10 ( 2-10, 82.8) 16-10 311 H Mercy East Coast (10- 2, 90.6) 14-15 314 A Southern New Hampshire Northeast 10 ( 5- 7, 85.2) 14-13 316 N Dominican (CA) Mountain East ( 9- 3, 87.8) 13-11 318 A Converse Carolinas ( 6- 8, 82.1) 17- 6 321 A Molloy East Coast ( 4- 8, 81.0) 12- 6 324 A Caldwell CACC ( 3- 5, 76.6) 23- 4 331 A Franklin Pierce Northeast 10 ( 4- 8, 84.0) 15-10 404 A Pace Northeast 10 ( 9- 4, 91.5) 8-16 408 H American International Northeast 10 ( 1-10, 72.5) 26- 1 411 H Assumption Northeast 10 ( 2- 8, 84.2) 415 H Bentley Northeast 10 ( 5- 6, 87.4) 418 A St Anselm Northeast 10 ( 8- 4, 88.7) 421 A Adelphi Northeast 10 ( 8- 4, 92.0)

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   221 A Thomas Jefferson        8- 7       1     0           1.38
   304 H Felician               21- 3      18    16           0.00
   307 H St Michaels            16-10       6     6           0.00
   311 H Mercy                  14-15      -1    -2           0.58
   314 A Southern New Hampshire 14-13       1     3    -     -2.05
   316 N Dominican (CA)         13-11       2     1           1.16
   318 A Converse               17- 6      11     6           0.00
   321 A Molloy                 12- 6       6     7           0.00
   324 A Caldwell               23- 4      19    12           0.00
   331 A Franklin Pierce        15-10       5     4           0.75
   404 A Pace                    8-16      -8    -3          -1.77
   408 H American International 26- 1      25    17           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   314 A Southern New Hampshire 14-13       1     3    -     -2.05

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

Southern Connecticut Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Adelphi Adelphi insuffient: ( 4- 1)( 5- 0) Adelphi
Alabama-Huntsville Alabama-Huntsville   Alabama-Huntsville
American International Southern Connecticut Southern Connecticut  
Anderson (SC) Anderson (SC)   Anderson (SC)
Ashland Ashland   Ashland
Assumption Southern Connecticut insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 3) Southern Connecticut
Barton Southern Connecticut insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Southern Connecticut
Belmont Abbey Southern Connecticut   Southern Connecticut
Bentley Southern Connecticut tied - ( 3- 1) ( 3- 1) Southern Connecticut
Bloomsburg Southern Connecticut   Southern Connecticut
Bridgeport Southern Connecticut tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Southern Connecticut
Caldwell Southern Connecticut Southern Connecticut  
Catawba Southern Connecticut insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Southern Connecticut
Charleston Southern Connecticut insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Southern Connecticut
Chestnut Hill Southern Connecticut insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Southern Connecticut
Chowan Southern Connecticut   Southern Connecticut
Coker Southern Connecticut insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Southern Connecticut
Colorado Mesa Southern Connecticut   Southern Connecticut
Colorado-Colorado Spring Southern Connecticut   Southern Connecticut
Concordia-St Paul Southern Connecticut   Southern Connecticut
Converse Southern Connecticut Southern Connecticut  
CSU-Pueblo Southern Connecticut insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Southern Connecticut
D'Youville Southern Connecticut tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Southern Connecticut
Daemen Southern Connecticut Southern Connecticut   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Davenport Southern Connecticut   Southern Connecticut
Davis & Elkins Southern Connecticut   Southern Connecticut
District of Columbia Southern Connecticut Southern Connecticut   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Dominican (CA) Southern Connecticut Southern Connecticut  
Dominican (NY) Southern Connecticut insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 2) Southern Connecticut
East Stroudsburg East Stroudsburg   East Stroudsburg
Edinboro Southern Connecticut   Southern Connecticut
Embry-Riddle Embry-Riddle   Embry-Riddle
Emmanuel (GA) Southern Connecticut tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Southern Connecticut
Emory & Henry Southern Connecticut   Southern Connecticut
Felician Southern Connecticut Southern Connecticut  
Findlay Southern Connecticut   Southern Connecticut
Flagler Flagler tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Flagler
Florida Southern Florida Southern   Florida Southern
Florida Tech Florida Tech   Florida Tech
Fort Lewis Southern Connecticut   Southern Connecticut
Franklin Pierce Southern Connecticut Southern Connecticut  
Frostburg State Southern Connecticut   Southern Connecticut
Gannon Southern Connecticut   Southern Connecticut
Georgian Court Southern Connecticut tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) Southern Connecticut
Grand Valley State Southern Connecticut   Southern Connecticut
Holy Family Southern Connecticut insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Southern Connecticut
Indiana (PA) Southern Connecticut   Southern Connecticut
Indianapolis Indianapolis   Indianapolis
Kutztown Kutztown tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Kutztown
Lake Erie Southern Connecticut   Southern Connecticut
Lander Southern Connecticut   Southern Connecticut
Lee Southern Connecticut insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Southern Connecticut
Lees-McRae Southern Connecticut insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Southern Connecticut
Lenoir-Rhyne Southern Connecticut   Southern Connecticut
Lewis Southern Connecticut   Southern Connecticut
Limestone Southern Connecticut   Southern Connecticut
Lincoln Memorial Southern Connecticut   Southern Connecticut
Lock Haven Southern Connecticut tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Southern Connecticut
Lynn Lynn   Lynn
Malone Southern Connecticut   Southern Connecticut
Mars Hill Southern Connecticut   Southern Connecticut
Maryville Maryville tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Maryville
McKendree Southern Connecticut insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Southern Connecticut
Mercy Mercy Mercy  
Millersville Southern Connecticut insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Southern Connecticut
Missouri Western Southern Connecticut   Southern Connecticut
Molloy Southern Connecticut Southern Connecticut  
Montevallo Southern Connecticut   Southern Connecticut
Mount Olive Southern Connecticut   Southern Connecticut
New Haven Southern Connecticut   Southern Connecticut
Newberry Southern Connecticut tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Southern Connecticut
North Greenville Southern Connecticut tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Southern Connecticut
Northern Michigan Southern Connecticut   Southern Connecticut
Northwood Southern Connecticut   Southern Connecticut
Pace Pace Pace  
Palm Beach Atlantic Southern Connecticut   Southern Connecticut
Post Southern Connecticut insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Southern Connecticut
Quincy Southern Connecticut insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Southern Connecticut
Regis (CO) Regis (CO)   Regis (CO)
Roberts Wesleyan Southern Connecticut insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) Southern Connecticut
Rockhurst Rockhurst   Rockhurst
Rollins Rollins   Rollins
Saginaw Valley State Southern Connecticut insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Southern Connecticut
Seton Hill Southern Connecticut   Southern Connecticut
Shepherd Southern Connecticut   Southern Connecticut
Shippensburg Southern Connecticut insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Southern Connecticut
Shorter Southern Connecticut insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Southern Connecticut
Slippery Rock Slippery Rock   Slippery Rock
Southern New Hampshire Southern Connecticut Southern Connecticut  
Southern Wesleyan Southern Connecticut   Southern Connecticut
St Anselm Southern Connecticut tied - ( 3- 1) ( 3- 1) Southern Connecticut
St Leo St Leo insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) St Leo
St Michaels Southern Connecticut Southern Connecticut  
St Thomas Aquinas Southern Connecticut insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Southern Connecticut
Tampa Tampa Tampa   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Thomas Jefferson Southern Connecticut Southern Connecticut  
Thomas More Southern Connecticut   Southern Connecticut
Tiffin Southern Connecticut   Southern Connecticut
Tusculum Southern Connecticut tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Southern Connecticut
Ursuline Southern Connecticut   Southern Connecticut
UVA Wise Southern Connecticut tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Southern Connecticut
Virginia State Southern Connecticut   Southern Connecticut
Walsh Southern Connecticut   Southern Connecticut
West Chester West Chester insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) West Chester
West Virginia Wesleyan Southern Connecticut   Southern Connecticut
Westminster (UT) Southern Connecticut   Southern Connecticut
Wheeling Southern Connecticut   Southern Connecticut
William Jewell Southern Connecticut   Southern Connecticut
Wilmington (DE) Wilmington (DE) insuffient: ( 4- 0)( 3- 1) Wilmington (DE)
Wingate Wingate   Wingate
Young Harris Southern Connecticut tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Southern Connecticut

PowerWise = 87


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 11.04

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Thomas Jeffers  ( 8- 3, 88.6)     8- 7      -11.27      21.93       0.41         0.92            20.54
   0 H Felician        ( 1- 7, 72.9)    21- 3      -27.00       6.19      -0.41         0.92             5.32
   0 H St Michaels     ( 2-10, 82.8)    16-10      -17.13      16.06      -0.41         0.92            14.39
   0 H Mercy           (10- 2, 90.6)    14-15       -9.25      23.94      -0.41         0.92            -8.88
   0 A Southern New H  ( 5- 7, 85.2)    14-13      -14.70      18.49       0.41         0.92            17.38
   0 N Dominican (CA)  ( 9- 3, 87.8)    13-11      -12.08      21.11      -0.00         0.92            19.42
   0 A Converse        ( 6- 8, 82.1)    17- 6      -17.82      15.37       0.41         0.92            14.51
   0 A Molloy          ( 4- 8, 81.0)    12- 6      -18.85      14.34       0.41         0.92            13.56
   0 A Caldwell        ( 3- 5, 76.6)    23- 4      -23.27       9.92       0.41         0.92             9.50
   0 A Franklin Pierc  ( 4- 8, 84.0)    15-10      -15.90      17.29       0.41         0.92            16.28
   0 A Pace            ( 9- 4, 91.5)     8-16       -8.41      24.78       0.41         0.92            -7.36
   0 H American Inter  ( 1-10, 72.5)    26- 1      -27.45       5.74      -0.41         0.92             4.91
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       119.56

winning pts = 135.8056 losing points = -16.2476

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------