women Southern Connecticut 2

  
Southern Connecticut  
W-L: (12- 6)  PR =    89.9152
 Schedule/Results All Games 

 Date  Opponent               Conf/State      (W-L, PR)      Score  
 221 A Thomas Jefferson       CACC          (12- 5, 89.9)     8- 7   
 304 H Felician               CACC          ( 1-13, 72.9)    21- 3   
 307 H St Michaels            Northeast 10  ( 5-12, 85.3)    16-10   
 311 H Mercy                  East Coast    (16- 4, 92.7)    14-15   
 314 A Southern New Hampshire Northeast 10  ( 6-10, 86.6)    14-13   
 316 N Dominican (CA)         Mountain East (10- 4, 89.2)    13-11   
 318 A Converse               Carolinas     ( 6-10, 83.5)    17- 6   
 321 A Molloy                 East Coast    ( 5-11, 81.8)    12- 6   
 324 A Caldwell               CACC          ( 5- 9, 76.6)    23- 4   
 331 A Franklin Pierce        Northeast 10  ( 5-11, 84.9)    15-10   
 404 A Pace                   Northeast 10  (16- 6, 93.8)     8-16   
 408 H American International Northeast 10  ( 1-14, 73.5)    26- 1   
 411 H Assumption             Northeast 10  ( 6- 9, 88.7)    10-12   
 415 H Bentley                Northeast 10  ( 8- 9, 89.7)    18-10   
 418 A St Anselm              Northeast 10  (11- 7, 90.2)    17- 9   
 421 A Adelphi                Northeast 10  (14- 5, 93.7)     4-19   
 425 H Bentley                Northeast 10  ( 8- 9, 89.7)    12-17   
 507 N Mercy                  East Coast    (16- 4, 92.7)    10-19

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   221 A Thomas Jefferson        8- 7       1     0           1.46
   304 H Felician               21- 3      18    18           0.00
   307 H St Michaels            16-10       6     5           0.00
   311 H Mercy                  14-15      -1    -2           1.30
   314 A Southern New Hampshire 14-13       1     3          -1.81
   316 N Dominican (CA)         13-11       2     1           1.33
   318 A Converse               17- 6      11     6           0.00
   321 A Molloy                 12- 6       6     8           0.00
   324 A Caldwell               23- 4      19    13           0.00
   331 A Franklin Pierce        15-10       5     4           0.52
   404 A Pace                    8-16      -8    -4          -0.59
   408 H American International 26- 1      25    17           0.00
   411 H Assumption             10-12      -2     2    -     -3.68
   415 H Bentley                18-10       8     1    ++     4.31
   418 A St Anselm              17- 9       8    -1    ++     5.82
   421 A Adelphi                 4-19     -15    -4          -0.73
   425 H Bentley                12-17      -5     1    --    -5.69
   507 N Mercy                  10-19      -9    -3    -     -2.19

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   425 H Bentley                12-17      -5     1    --    -5.69
   411 H Assumption             10-12      -2     2    -     -3.68
   507 N Mercy                  10-19      -9    -3    -     -2.19

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   415 H Bentley                18-10       8     1    ++     4.31
   418 A St Anselm              17- 9       8    -1    ++     5.82

Southern Connecticut PairWisePlus Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each 
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they 
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the 
record of the loser for all common opponents

Opponent	Who Gets the Point?	Head-2-Head Point	Common Opponent Point	Power Rating Point
Adelphi	Adelphi	Adelphi
Alabama-Huntsville	Alabama-Huntsville			Alabama-Huntsville
American International	Southern Connecticut	Southern Connecticut
Anderson (SC)	Anderson (SC)			Anderson (SC)
Ashland	Ashland			Ashland
Assumption	Assumption	Assumption
Barton	Southern Connecticut		Southern Connecticut 1- 0 vs 0- 1
Belmont Abbey	Southern Connecticut		tied - 1- 0	Southern Connecticut
Bentley	Southern Connecticut		tied - 6- 4	Southern Connecticut
Bloomsburg	Southern Connecticut			Southern Connecticut
Bridgeport	Southern Connecticut		Southern Connecticut 5- 0 vs 3- 2
Caldwell	Southern Connecticut	Southern Connecticut
Catawba	Southern Connecticut		Southern Connecticut 1- 0 vs 0- 1
Charleston	Southern Connecticut		Southern Connecticut 1- 0 vs 0- 1
Chestnut Hill	Southern Connecticut		Southern Connecticut 3- 0 vs 2- 1
Chowan	Southern Connecticut			Southern Connecticut
Coker	Southern Connecticut		Southern Connecticut 2- 0 vs 1- 1
Colorado Mesa	Southern Connecticut			Southern Connecticut
Colorado-Colorado Spring	Colorado-Colorado Spring			Colorado-Colorado Spring
Concordia-St Paul	Southern Connecticut			Southern Connecticut
Converse	Southern Connecticut	Southern Connecticut
CSU-Pueblo	Southern Connecticut		Southern Connecticut 1- 0 vs 0- 1
D'Youville	Southern Connecticut		Southern Connecticut 3- 1 vs 2- 2
Daemen	Southern Connecticut		Southern Connecticut 3- 1 vs 1- 3
Davenport	Southern Connecticut			Southern Connecticut
Davis & Elkins	Southern Connecticut			Southern Connecticut
District of Columbia	Southern Connecticut		Southern Connecticut 2- 1 vs 0- 3
Dominican (CA)	Southern Connecticut	Southern Connecticut
Dominican (NY)	Southern Connecticut		Southern Connecticut 6- 1 vs 5- 2
East Stroudsburg	East Stroudsburg		East Stroudsburg 2- 0 vs 1- 2
Edinboro	Southern Connecticut			Southern Connecticut
Embry-Riddle	Embry-Riddle			Embry-Riddle
Emmanuel (GA)	Southern Connecticut		tied - 1- 0	Southern Connecticut
Emory & Henry	Southern Connecticut			Southern Connecticut
Felician	Southern Connecticut	Southern Connecticut
Findlay	Southern Connecticut			Southern Connecticut
Flagler	Flagler		tied - 1- 0	Flagler
Florida Southern	Florida Southern		tied - 0- 1	Florida Southern
Florida Tech	Florida Tech		Florida Tech 2- 0 vs 0- 2
Fort Lewis	Southern Connecticut			Southern Connecticut
Franklin Pierce	Southern Connecticut	Southern Connecticut
Frostburg State	Southern Connecticut		tied - 1- 0	Southern Connecticut
Gannon	Southern Connecticut			Southern Connecticut
Georgian Court	Southern Connecticut		Southern Connecticut 5- 1 vs 4- 2
Grand Valley State	Grand Valley State			Grand Valley State
Holy Family	Southern Connecticut		Southern Connecticut 4- 0 vs 1- 3
Indiana (PA)	Southern Connecticut			Southern Connecticut
Indianapolis	Indianapolis			Indianapolis
Kutztown	Kutztown		Kutztown 2- 1 vs 2- 2
Lake Erie	Southern Connecticut			Southern Connecticut
Lander	Southern Connecticut			Southern Connecticut
Lee	Southern Connecticut		Southern Connecticut 1- 0 vs 0- 1
Lees-McRae	Southern Connecticut		Southern Connecticut 1- 0 vs 0- 1
Lenoir-Rhyne	Lenoir-Rhyne			Lenoir-Rhyne
Lewis	Southern Connecticut			Southern Connecticut
Limestone	Southern Connecticut			Southern Connecticut
Lincoln Memorial	Southern Connecticut			Southern Connecticut
Lock Haven	Southern Connecticut		tied - 1- 0	Southern Connecticut
Lynn	Lynn		Lynn 1- 0 vs 0- 1
Malone	Southern Connecticut			Southern Connecticut
Mars Hill	Southern Connecticut			Southern Connecticut
Maryville	Maryville		tied - 1- 0	Maryville
McKendree	Southern Connecticut		Southern Connecticut 1- 0 vs 0- 1
Mercy	Mercy	Mercy
Millersville	Southern Connecticut		Southern Connecticut 2- 0 vs 1- 1
Missouri Western	Southern Connecticut			Southern Connecticut
Molloy	Southern Connecticut	Southern Connecticut
Montevallo	Southern Connecticut			Southern Connecticut
Mount Olive	Southern Connecticut			Southern Connecticut
New Haven	Southern Connecticut			Southern Connecticut
Newberry	Southern Connecticut		tied - 1- 0	Southern Connecticut
North Greenville	Southern Connecticut		tied - 1- 0	Southern Connecticut
Northern Michigan	Southern Connecticut			Southern Connecticut
Northwood	Southern Connecticut			Southern Connecticut
Pace	Pace	Pace
Palm Beach Atlantic	Southern Connecticut		Southern Connecticut 1- 0 vs 0- 1
Post	Southern Connecticut		Southern Connecticut 3- 0 vs 1- 2
Quincy	Southern Connecticut		Southern Connecticut 2- 0 vs 0- 2
Regis (CO)	Regis (CO)			Regis (CO)
Roberts Wesleyan	Southern Connecticut		Southern Connecticut 5- 3 vs 2- 5
Rockhurst	Rockhurst			Rockhurst
Rollins	Rollins		tied - 1- 0	Rollins
Saginaw Valley State	Southern Connecticut		Southern Connecticut 1- 0 vs 0- 1
Seton Hill	Southern Connecticut			Southern Connecticut
Shepherd	Southern Connecticut			Southern Connecticut
Shippensburg	Southern Connecticut		Southern Connecticut 1- 0 vs 0- 1
Shorter	Southern Connecticut		Southern Connecticut 1- 0 vs 0- 1
Slippery Rock	Slippery Rock			Slippery Rock
Southern New Hampshire	Southern Connecticut	Southern Connecticut
Southern Wesleyan	Southern Connecticut			Southern Connecticut
St Anselm	Southern Connecticut	Southern Connecticut
St Leo	St Leo		St Leo 3- 1 vs 1- 3
St Michaels	Southern Connecticut	Southern Connecticut
St Thomas Aquinas	Southern Connecticut		Southern Connecticut 5- 1 vs 1- 5
Tampa	Tampa		Tampa 2- 0 vs 0- 2
Thomas Jefferson	Southern Connecticut	Southern Connecticut
Thomas More	Southern Connecticut			Southern Connecticut
Tiffin	Southern Connecticut			Southern Connecticut
Tusculum	Southern Connecticut		tied - 1- 0	Southern Connecticut
Ursuline	Southern Connecticut			Southern Connecticut
UVA Wise	Southern Connecticut		tied - 1- 0	Southern Connecticut
Virginia State	Southern Connecticut			Southern Connecticut
Walsh	Southern Connecticut			Southern Connecticut
West Chester	West Chester		West Chester 4- 0 vs 1- 4
West Virginia Wesleyan	Southern Connecticut			Southern Connecticut
Westminster (UT)	Southern Connecticut			Southern Connecticut
Wheeling	Southern Connecticut			Southern Connecticut
William Jewell	Southern Connecticut			Southern Connecticut
Wilmington (DE)	Southern Connecticut		Southern Connecticut 5- 1 vs 4- 1
Wingate	Wingate			Wingate
Young Harris	Southern Connecticut		tied - 1- 0	Southern Connecticut

PairWisePlus = 84

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 16.05

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Thomas Jeffers  (12- 5, 89.9)     8- 7      -10.04      23.69       0.51         0.89            21.59
   0 H Felician        ( 1-13, 72.9)    21- 3      -26.98       6.75      -0.51         0.89             5.57
   0 H St Michaels     ( 5-12, 85.3)    16-10      -14.60      19.13      -0.51         0.89            16.60
   0 H Mercy           (16- 4, 92.7)    14-15       -7.18      26.55      -0.51         0.89            -6.86
   0 A Southern New H  ( 6-10, 86.6)    14-13      -13.31      20.42       0.51         0.89            18.67
   0 N Dominican (CA)  (10- 4, 89.2)    13-11      -10.65      23.08      -0.00         0.89            20.58
   0 A Converse        ( 6-10, 83.5)    17- 6      -16.42      17.31       0.51         0.89            15.89
   0 A Molloy          ( 5-11, 81.8)    12- 6      -18.12      15.61       0.51         0.89            14.38
   0 A Caldwell        ( 5- 9, 76.6)    23- 4      -23.33      10.40       0.51         0.89             9.73
   0 A Franklin Pierc  ( 5-11, 84.9)    15-10      -14.98      18.75       0.51         0.89            17.18
   0 A Pace            (16- 6, 93.8)     8-16       -6.08      27.65       0.51         0.89            -4.97
   0 H American Inter  ( 1-14, 73.5)    26- 1      -26.35       7.38      -0.51         0.89             6.13
   0 H Assumption      ( 6- 9, 88.7)    10-12      -11.15      22.58      -0.51         0.89           -10.40
   0 H Bentley         ( 8- 9, 89.7)    18-10      -10.17      23.56      -0.51         0.89            20.56
   0 A St Anselm       (11- 7, 90.2)    17- 9       -9.67      24.06       0.51         0.89            21.91
   0 A Adelphi         (14- 5, 93.7)     4-19       -6.23      27.50       0.51         0.89            -5.10
   0 H Bentley         ( 8- 9, 89.7)    12-17      -10.17      23.56      -0.51         0.89            -9.52
   0 N Mercy           (16- 4, 92.7)    10-19       -7.18      26.55      -0.00         0.89            -6.40
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       145.53

winning pts = 188.7804 losing points = -43.2519

SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------